ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/64-Finals
Monfils – Basavareddy: Time TBA
H2H: 2-0
Gael Monfils has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Barrios Vera upset him in the opening round in three tight sets. Last season in Cincinnati, Monfils lost to Rune in the third round. He has never made it past the third round here.
Nishesh Basavareddy has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Lexington, Basavareddy reached the quarterfinals of the Challenger tournament. He eventually lost to Svajda in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Monfils is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Basavareddy. Both matches were on hard courts. The American is in bad form and has not had any remarkable results since the beginning of the season.
That being said, Monfils winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Gael Monfils winning @1.57 @bet365
Moutet – McDonald: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Frenchman lost to Davidovich Fokina in the second round in straight sets. A week before, Moutet had a solid run in Washington, eventually losing to de Minaur in the semifinals.
Mackenzie McDonald has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, McDonald lost to Lehecka in the second round in straight sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to cement his top 100 status. So far this season, McDonald has had his biggest results at the Challenger Tour level.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, McDonald is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing in the States, where he always has a crowd on his side. He demolished Moutet in Shanghai two seasons ago, which has also been their only head-to-head meeting.
That being said, McDonald winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mackenzie McDonald winning @2.10 @bet365
Ugo Carabelli – Nishikori: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Argentine retired mid-match against Carballes Baena in the opening round due to a right arm injury. The Argentine had never succeeded on hard courts before.
Kei Nishikori has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Geneva in May, when he retired mid-match against Khachanov in the 1/8-Finals. His last hard-court match was in Phoenix in March, when he lost to Fonseca in the semifinals. This will be his seventh appearance in Cincinnati. He has never made it past the third round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ugo Carabelli is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Nishikori has not played any competitive matches for the past three months. We expect him to be rusty coming into this match. On the other hand, Ugo Carabelli played many matches and will be ready.
That being said, Ugo Carabelli winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Camilo Ugo Carabelli winning @2.38 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
